Donating using ActBlue is easy

With just weeks left until election day on Tuesday, November 3, and with people already voting by mail, if you’re going to donate to a campaign do it as soon as possible. Here’s the ActBlue website. All the Democrat candidates or independents aligning with Dems. use it. They use the service to process your campaign donations. You can set up an account and then it’ll be easy for you to go to the candidate campaign websites where you want to donate. Read the previous post for the U.S. Senate races where your money will have the greatest impact. Do your own research too.

U.S. Senate Races

This coming November voting for Biden and getting all your friends and relatives to vote for him is job 1. But there are also senate races where your financial support would go a long way towards securing the senate for Democrats. This is especially critical after Supreme Court Justice Ginsburg’s death resulted in an open seat on the court.

Even if you can only spare $10, but perhaps more, it will be better to focus on flipping senate seats in states where your money would have a bigger impact because the state’s population is relatively small and the contest is close. It would also help if lots of people you know do the same. It adds up.

These are the U.S. Senate races I would recommend for now.
1 Theresa Greenfield (Democrat) vs. Ernst (R)- Iowa
2 Sara Gideon (Democrat) vs. Collins (R)- Maine
3 Steve Bullock (Democrat) vs. Daines (R) – Montana
4 Jaime Harrison (Democrat) vs. Graham (R) -South Carolina

And here are the logic and numbers from the Princeton Election Consortium

Polling consensus for 2020 U.S. Senate election. It’s very close!


Contra-Trump

The most important thing you can do for the nation and our democracy in this presidential election year is vote for Joe Biden. But that’s not enough. You have to also tell every single friend, acquaintance, family member, coworker, shop owner to do the same. Do it in whatever state you live in because the popular vote is also important. Then focus on these battleground states:

Florida, Michigan, Minnesota, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania, Wisconsin, Iowa, Ohio. These states are also contested: Arizona, Georgia, North Carolina

Call or text, people you know in those critical states. Furthermore, don’t just vote for Joe Biden and Kamala Harris but also for every Democrat down ballot. If Trump resists leaving office if he’s defeated, it may be the only way to get him to exit.

If you’re on social media be sure to make these suggestions to your friends and contacts. No need to get into political arguments, just focus on getting people who are on the fence, leaning, or who say they want to vote for Biden to make a plan for actually voting in person or by mail. If they have the time or interest, you should suggest they encourage their friends and acquaintances to also get involved. Everyone should make a plan for voting and do it right now, especially if you are going to vote-by-mail or wish to vote early.

You can find your voter registration status, register to vote or how (mail-in or in person) and where to vote here. The website was setup by the Democratic National Committee.

Note: These Contra-Trump posts will also be archived in the Contra-Trump menu on top.

Unconventional Convention

Lots has changed since I last wrote about the election. Not many people thought Joe Biden would recover and go on to gather a commanding lead in delegates, but he did just that with the help of the African-American vote, the unwavering base of the Democratic Party.

I still maintain that the fissures within the Democratic Party between the Neo-liberals and the Sanders wing (the Social Democrats) of the party is a problem. Sanders hasn’t dropped out yet, (although there are reports some advisors are suggesting he do so) even though it’s just about impossible for him to catch up to Biden.

But in addition, now, we’re in a new world as the coronavirus rages through the U.S., and suddenly, Biden and Sanders are having problems penetrating the 24/7 coronavirus news loop. Both candidates also appear far more frail in their transmissions from home. Their advanced age can’t be ignored in the middle of this pandemic.

With the Democratic primaries halted, I do not see why an unconventional convention can’t be held. First of all, it’s unlikely there will be the usual gathering of delegates, even in August. Biden will not have the 1991 total delegates he needs to win outright until the convention. So why shouldn’t the Democrats select the best candidates for this unprecedented moment to confront not only Trump but also this killer epidemic. There’s a large talent pool available, most prominently Elizabeth Warren, who demonstrated during her campaign the ability to draw up realistic plans for just about anything, including how to confront the coronavirus pandemic. There are other strong candidates who lost but could be considered. Furthermore, the new stars of the moment who are demonstrating leadership are the governors, most prominently, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo. 2/x

Will the Democratic Party survive this election?

According fivethirtyeight‘s Democratic Party nomination forecast, it’s conceivable that as Michael Bloomberg continues to climb in the polls, and Bernie Sanders maintains his strong base of support, Bloomberg and Sanders will be the two candidates accumulating the most delegates, and end up in a one-on-one fight as Democrats head to the convention in July. If no candidate gets a majority of the delegates there’s more of a possibility there will be a brokered convention. If this does happen and the candidate going into the convention with the most delegates doesn’t get the nomination does the party fracture?

Neither Bloomberg nor Sanders is truly a Democrat. Bernie’s an Independent. Bloomberg, when he was mayor of NYC, was a Republican. While still mayor, he left the Republicans and became an Independent. Most recently, he switched his party affiliation to Democrat. Not exactly life-long Democratic party loyalists. Perhaps a more traditional Democrat, Biden, Klobuchar, Buttigieg will be in the top 3 at the convention. But anything resembling this mashup increases the possibilities the party may fall apart.

This is in sharp contrast to Trump’s complete domination of the Republican party and its move to the far right. But let’s leave that for another day.

Since 2016 it seems clear there are two warring wings within the Democratic Party. One is mainstream pro-business that supports some social programs that mitigates the destructive elements of the American capitalist economy. Let’s call it social safety net, the basic plan. And the party has to be pushed on social issues from the bottom. See marriage equality. But it eventually gets there. That’s Bill and Hillary Clinton’s party, and Barack Obama’s. Let’s call them Neo-liberal Democrats. It has been dominant since Bill Clinton won the presidency. Then there’s the Warren and Sanders side of the party that burst out since Sanders’ run in 2016. This grouping appears to be a Social Democratic Party of the Western European variety. As Paul Krugman has pointed out, Bernie is really a social democrat, not a socialist, never mind what he says.

The questions are: Can these wings of the Party stay together? If Bloomberg or Sanders gets the nomination, will the party be united to defeat Trump? Will the party stay together even if a Democrat wins the election? What happens if Trump pulls out a second term? Which grouping within the party will be blamed? What are the possible realignments?

1/x


Instagram Next

For a few reasons I haven’t posted on Instagram. This has given me an opportunity to confront the third service leg of Facebook’s social media empire. (I’m not really using Facebook’s social network or WhatsApp.) For now I’m leaving a few videos on Instagram but the pictures are archived here.


By not posting I’ve had an opportunity to reevaluate Instagram. Do I really want to feel obligated to upload almost every day? And since I haven’t amassed a large following anyway, is Instagram where I should post? Is Instagram’s timeline the best place to see photography?

I don’t know. But I’m thinking about all this.

No Hate. No Fear. Solidarity March

New Yorkers of every background are invited to stand and march with Jewish neighbors to say no to hate; no to fear. Now is the time for solidarity after the recent antisemitic attacks in the New York metropolitan area.

Details: Sunday, January 5, 2020
Meet at Foley Square, Manhattan at 11:00 am.
March across the Brooklyn Bridge to Cadman Plaza in Brooklyn.
Visit ujafedny.org/MarchNYC for additional information.